Celina Proffen

Ph.D. Candidate in Economics
at Goethe University Frankfurt

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Research Interests: Political Economy, Structural Transformation, Labor Economics

Ongoing projects

Do political conflicts matter for everyday consumption behavior?
Evidence from the US-China trade conflict
(with Lukas Jürgensmeier)

Political conflicts influence the decision-making of politicians, businesses, and voters. We investigate how daily consumption reacts to political conflicts using data on visits to nearly 200,000 restaurants across the US. Exploiting the variation in news coverage about the recent US-China trade conflict, we estimate that a week-long one standard deviation increase in daily reporting negativity about China leads to around 3.2% fewer daily visits to the average Chinese restaurant. Further, we show that visits to other foreign restaurants also decrease significantly, while establishments specializing in typical American food experience increased visitor numbers.


How does technological progress matter for intra-household resource
allocation at early stages of development? Evidence from Ethiopia

Electrification is often thought of as a prime example of technological progress. While there is abundant evidence on how technological progress alters aggregate economic structures in developing countries, there is little evidence on how it affects intra-household decision-making. This project exploits a large-scale rural electrification program in Ethiopia and combines it with detailed panel data on households’ time and resource allocations. It then analyses how key outcomes of interest, such as children’s educational outcomes and females’ labor market participation, change after gaining electricity access, and how these changes depend on the household composition and other members’ responses.